A return-heavy tail and a stake-heavy tail are not interchangeable.
The top 1,000 gross-payout events carry 66.80% of payout, while the largest-stake cuts change the remaining ratio along a different path. Both are published as sensitivities around the full 1,193,832-row ledger.
- Observed payout / stake
- 173.14%
- Captured player net
- +$9.77M
What moves the result—and what remains after the cut.
0.084% of events carry 66.80% of captured payout.
The tail pairs $7.04M stake with $15.46M payout and +$8.42M player net.
Evidence limit: The order is by captured gross payout, not probability or expected value.
Open evidenceRemoving large stakes moves the denominator differently.
The full observed ratio is 173.14%; after the 100 largest-stake events are removed it becomes 177.83%.
Evidence limit: This scenario does not claim the removed stakes were atypical or invalid.
Open evidence12 first-party games account for most of the captured traffic.
726,872 rows map to Thrill Originals, while 466,960 map to the external catalogue.
Evidence limit: The split follows observed provider namespaces, not complete availability.
Open evidenceWhere the captured tail sits on the money boards.
Thrill on comparable rankings
Shown only where the underlying fields match
- OpenAverage observed stakeAverage captured stake#11/18Eligible-field positionObserved value$11.19
Feed-level proxy. This is not a maximum bet or a verified per-player average.
Method and calculation
Formula: captured USD stake ÷ included money rows
Value: $13,364,336.95 divided by 1,193,832 included money rows
Caveat: Position applies only to this metric and eligible comparison field.
- OpenBest payoutsObserved payout / stake#3/18Eligible-field positionObserved value173.14%
1,193,832 included rows · 100% selected-row coverage
Method and calculation
Formula: captured gross payout ÷ captured stake × 100
Value: $23,138,595.84 paid on $13,364,336.95 staked
Caveat: Position applies only to this metric and eligible comparison field.
The tail is measurable. Its representativeness is not assumed.
Supported by the data
- 1,193,832 captured events include paired USD stake and return fields (100.00% of the event scope).
- 1,193,832 events are interpreted inside a stated 168h window.
Use with caution
- Tail cuts remove complete events from both numerator and denominator. Neither is presented as a corrected RTP, and the two orderings are never merged into one score.
- Sensitivity view only: selected events remain inside the published total.
Not covered
- Licensing, ownership, legal availability, reserves or regulatory compliance.
- Deposits, withdrawals, KYC, account restrictions, support or bonus value.
What to know before using these numbers.
Coverage, interpretation and the path back to the underlying analysis.