The full ledger closes; the tail explains what the total means.
The capture is internally complete but distributionally fragile. Its positive player-net close depends on a tiny cohort of high-return events; remove those same complete events and the sign flips. The defensible conclusion is concentration—not a corrected RTP or a forecast.
- full captured player net
- 01+$1.24M
- 154.85% observed payout / stake
- without the top 100 returns
- 02−$26.05K
- 98.80% observed payout / stake
100 complete events · 0.024% of rows · 39.02% of gross return
Stress-test rule: The top-100 cut removes complete events from both stake and return. It is a sensitivity view, not a correction, prediction or estimate of long-run game RTP.
What moves the result—and what remains after the cut.
A hundred events reverse the captured balance.
The full sample ends at +$1.24M player net; the remaining sample after the complete-event cut ends at −$26.05K.
- 100 largest returns removed
- 01−$26.05K
- 98.80% remains · 4.41% stake / 39.02% return removed
- 100 largest stakes removed
- 02+$1.22M
- 157.08% remains · 5.82% stake / 4.47% return removed
Both views remove 100 complete events. The selection rule changes the reading.
Evidence limit: This does not imply that the removed events were invalid or unrepresentative.
Open evidenceThe tape is narrow in products and deep in event mechanics.
422,004 rows span 7 engines, 11 currencies and 1,371 source account labels.
- Plinko
- 01+$1.03M
- 92,492 events · 21.92% of tape · 82.94% of full net
- Keno + Limbo
- 02+$52.96K
- 231,380 events · 54.83% of tape · 4.26% of full net
This comparison does not identify which games produced the top-100 return cohort.
Evidence limit: The source surface is an Originals tape, not a full casino-floor sample.
Open evidenceProof-adjacent fields remain evidence, not a fairness claim.
The full report preserves the source trace and raw mechanics fields needed to inspect event context and timing.
- Unique bet IDs
- 01100%
- 422,004 / 422,004 captured rows reconcile one-to-one
- Accounting mismatches
- 020
- normalized stake and return checks
- Hash + random-seed fields
- 03100%
- field coverage across the selected population
Coverage is field presence, not fairness verification; no proof values are published.
Evidence limit: Field presence does not independently verify a commitment algorithm or reveal hidden seeds.
Open evidenceWhere the captured tail sits on the money boards.
- 0118 eligibleQzino
- Average captured stake
- $5.37
- #15 of 18
View boardAverage observed stake
Feed-level proxy. This is not a maximum bet or a verified per-player average.
Method and calculation
Formula: captured USD stake ÷ included money rows
Value: $2,265,070.44 divided by 422,004 included money rows
Caveat: Position applies only to this metric and eligible comparison field.
- 0218 eligibleQzino
- Observed payout / stake
- 154.85%
- #4 of 18
View boardBest payouts
422,004 included rows · 100% selected-row coverage
Method and calculation
Formula: captured gross payout ÷ captured stake × 100
Value: $3,507,558.68 paid on $2,265,070.44 staked
Caveat: Tail-sensitive: removing the 100 largest gross-return rows lowers observed payout / stake from 154.85% to 98.80% and changes the captured balance from positive to negative.
Position counts only casinos with compatible fields for that board. A missing rank is withheld, never converted into zero or last place.
The tail is measurable. Its representativeness is not assumed.
Supported by the data
- 422,004 captured events include paired USD stake and return fields (100.00% of the event scope).
- 422,004 events are interpreted inside a stated 168h window.
Use with caution
- The top-100 cut removes complete events from both stake and return. It is a sensitivity view, not a correction, prediction or estimate of long-run game RTP.
- Tail-sensitive: removing the 100 largest gross-return rows lowers observed payout / stake from 154.85% to 98.80% and changes the captured balance from positive to negative.
Not covered
- Licensing, ownership, legal availability, reserves or regulatory compliance.
- Deposits, withdrawals, KYC, account restrictions, support or bonus value.
What to know before using these numbers.
Coverage, interpretation and the path back to the underlying analysis.